Derived-values-only AI layer

Market stays warm with strong upside potential

The market is currently in a warm phase with high probability of rising prices. Most sectors are performing well and credit markets are holding up. The model shows a 85.7% chance of prices going up in the next 5 days.

Main Dashboard JSON
85.0

Current Read

Warm

5-Day Up

85.7%

21-Day Up

81.3%

21-Day Middle

1.78%

What Supports The Read

  • Recent 21-day price action is positive
  • Most sector ETFs above 50-day averages
  • Credit holding up versus Treasuries

What Could Weaken It

  • Inflation remains hot
  • Rate pressure is mixed
  • Job data is steady

Visual Breakdown

Probability Gauges

5-day up
85.7
21-day up
81.3
Thermometer
85.0

Scenario Weights

Risk-on continuation
66.6
Neutral chop
13.0
Rotation conflict
9.5
Risk-off transition
9.2
Panic acceleration
1.7

Leadership

QQQ
88.4
XLK
88.2
USO
85.0
EEM
85.7
IWM
84.9
VTI
84.4
VEA
78.2
DIA
73.6

Player Pressure

long_only_investors
+0.73
systematic_trend_and_momentum
+0.64
hedge_funds_fast_money
+0.45
retail_narrative_crowd
+0.44
credit_market
+0.39
corporate_management_insiders
+0.26

What To Watch Next

Confidence in current read: 48% (moderate)